Cagnes-Sur-Mer roles into a 3rd week of action and as we edge ever closer to the Flat season proper the quality and quantity of racing in the south of France increases. Last week started so well for the blog with a last to first victory from Padron in the feature race on Monday, but that was followed by 4 selections who finished 3,2,3,3 and as we leave January behind lets hope for change of luck with the most interesting horse on Mondays card.
We have 8 races to enjoy this Monday, including 3 Conditions races for the older horses. It is wonderful to see Bobbymurphy make his return from injury in Race 5. He looked like one of the most promising 3-year-olds in France 12-months ago, but injury robbed him ion the chance to prove his classic credentials. He makes his return and if his ability remains, he will probably win on Monday, but he makes no appeal as a betting proposition given the absence. Instead it is to the 12:25 where we find the most interesting runner who could represent some significant value as an each-way punt.
4-year-old Colt - trained by A Botti
Outstrip x Menesteem (Mark of Esteem)
The Botti team are no strangers to Cagnes-Sur-Mer and have run plenty of their better horses at the track in the past, including Waddat who finished 2nd in a Class 2 Conditions race last week. It is interesting then to see their 4-year-old Colt PLEASE EXCEED make his French debut in this Class 2 conditions race over the mile. He is a son of Outstrip, out of an unrated daughter of Mark of Esteem who certainly looks bred for the mile trip.
He has won 6 times in his native Italy over 7-furlongs and a mile and has plenty of solid form on the all-weather track in Rome, so he should have no issue with the conditions at Cagnes-Sur-Mer. He won in Rome 2 weeks ago when barely coming off the bridle to win a 7-furlong conditions race in a time of 1:24.07. Whilst it is hard to assess what that form is worth, the time would suggest he should at least be capable of competing at this level and his strong travelling nature could be ideally suited. He represents some decent each-way value in this field, especially with doubts over whether the principles in the market will be suited by the 1600m trip.